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Who does the EU youth mobility scheme really benefit?

Times have changed. Credit: Getty

Times have changed. Credit: Getty

May 20 2025 - 11:45am

Much of the commentary around Britain’s new “reset” deal with the EU is understandably focused on weighing the distribution of benefits and costs to the two parties involved. The youth mobility scheme, intended to allow young Europeans to work, study, travel and volunteer more easily across the continent, has been subjected to such analysis. While this could be attractive for some British youth, it is worth pondering what the UK might receive in return.

Some have been tempted to compare cross-national rates of youth unemployment, for example. It looks likely that some EU states will exploit Keir Starmer’s deal to externalize their youth unemployment problems, sending young people fleeing competition from cheaper immigrant labor in their own countries to become baristas and students in London. It is also true that this scheme will benefit British youth less than it will their continental counterparts, who will take advantage of the scheme to sharpen their English language skills in Britain’s less regulated labor market. Young Britons, in comparison, are unlikely to seek employment in similar numbers in Amsterdam or Warsaw. If anyone stands to gain, it will be the middle classes, not British youth working in retail, social care or construction.

Ultimately, though, this scheme only indirectly concerns young people. Rather, the best way to understand it is by considering the 2002 romcom L’Auberge Espanol — released as Pot Luck in English — about a flat share in Barcelona between Erasmus students from Spain, England, Germany, Italy, Belgium and Denmark. Plenty of youthful and lustful high jinks ensue, alongside the occasional sexual and cultural faux pas, among the beautiful cosmopolitan young people. The plot of this crude but financially successful Euro-agitprop is less important than the fact that those beautiful young people are now all middle-aged.

This is the key to understanding Starmer’s “youth mobility” scheme – it is not aimed at young people but rather at their parents and, especially, the centrist dads. “Youth mobility” is the symbol which represents the nostalgia with which middle-aged middle-class Britons view the European Union. The EU of the early 2000s, when inflation and interest rates were perennially low, City jobs plentiful, universities thriving, and Eastern Europe still shabby and cheap, only just reconnecting with the world after Soviet isolation.

Inner-city London, meanwhile, was still gentrifying at prices that were affordable for university lecturers and middle managers. Rome, Barcelona, Berlin, Amsterdam, Lisbon provided a cosmopolitan hinterland for the British middle classes of this era to escape those parts of Spain colonized by the British working classes, with the cheaper and more exotic Eastern European and Baltic cities reserved for seedier escapades. This is the vision of Britain that would peak nearly 10 years after the release of L’Auberge Espanol, with the opening ceremony of the London Olympics in 2012.

We now have a national policy based around a fantasy flat share. This reflects the one iron law of British politics that survives Brexit and the collapse of all other political certainties: the more pro-EU you are, the less likely you are to actually pay attention to the countries across the Channel. If Centrist Dad could bear to stand the full 10 minutes in the visa queue with people from outside Europe, he would quickly see that the continent of the early 2000s is gone.

Youth mobility will cost the British Exchequer more than its continental equivalents. But it is a cost Labour is willing to pay to prevent Centrist Dad from defecting to the Liberal Democrats or the Greens in 2029. At bottom, however, the youth mobility scheme is without economic rationale or electoral strategy. Instead, it is a vibes-based policy, intended to recreate a cosmopolitan cocoon for aging middle-class millennials and Gen Xers, letting them imagine that the world is the same as it was in their youth.

Unfortunately for these Europhiles, the world has changed. And as any trip to Eastern Europe reveals, young people in those parts may well have better prospects at home than in Starmer’s ailing Britain.


Philip Cunliffe is Associate Professor of International Relations at the Department of Risk and Disaster Reduction, University College London. He is the author of seven books, including, most recently: The National Interest: Politics after Globalization.

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China is threatening America in the AI race

Reports sugget Zhipu AI  has released a new model that can rival leading US systems. Credit: Getty

Reports sugget Zhipu AI has released a new model that can rival leading US systems. Credit: Getty

July 1 2026 - 10:18am

China is trying to catch up with America on artificial intelligence. The Wall Street Journal has reported that Zhipu AI — one of China’s six “AI tiger” LLMs — has released a new model that can rival leading US systems, including Anthropic’s Mythos, in cybersecurity tasks such as pinpointing security bugs. While this marks a milestone in China’s drive to catch up with Western AI capabilities, strong performance on a single benchmark does not mean it has taken the lead. Chinese models still lag behind their Western counterparts in broader capabilities, such as autonomous operation. Skepticism is therefore warranted before resorting to hysterical conclusions, but complacency about the geopolitical implications of China’s AI advances would be an even greater mistake.

On the infrastructure side, Chinese AI is still constrained by access to advanced chips, with American labs way ahead in computing capacity as well as investment. Analysis from earlier this year suggests that Chinese models are likely to be at least a few months behind those in the US. But they are still continuing to make progress, or that the geopolitical importance of AI will be decided only by whose LLM has ventured deeper into the technological frontier. The practical applications of AI, countries’ to capture foreign markets, and the application of AI into the real economy will matter just as much.

Here, China may hold an advantage. As with its dominance across many critical supply chains, Beijing may not need to produce the most advanced AI systems — only those that are affordable and widely deployable. In doing so, it could consolidate global influence by supplying functional, low-cost AI at scale.

Beijing seems to be pursuing exactly that path, developing an AI “open-source” strategy that offers affordable, widely available AI models for companies and individuals to use and modify as they wish. The production of the DeepSeek AI model, which matched the performance of Silicon Valley tools such as ChatGPT at a fraction of the cost for users, created goodwill among Chinese models with developers.

The four most popular models on OpenRouter, an AI hardware platform for developers, are now all Chinese. The goal for China is not only to win the frontier-model race, but to make its systems the default layer of AI adoption across industries and global markets. For most economies, the choice is increasingly between an affordable tool they can deploy now and a more robust one that may be out of reach.

And while the countries adopting Chinese models may be exposed to political pressure and cyber threats from Beijing, safer and more capable alternatives matter little if they are unaffordable. American AI companies are already under pressure to monetize products whose operating costs are rising. If Chinese open-source models become the cheap default for startups, universities, governments and businesses across the developing world, then America’s AI lead will be eroded from below.

Perhaps more concerning for America in the long run is how AI can give Chinese manufacturing even more strength, through the ongoing integration of AI as a general-purpose technology. China’s new Five-Year Plan mentioned AI more than 50 times and includes an “AI+” action plan aimed at spreading AI across the economy.

Beijing has been pioneering automation of its critical infrastructure for years, with promising recent results in increasing warplane production capacity. In that regard, China’s open-model strategy and manufacturing dominance will reinforce each other. Cheap, adaptable models accelerate deployment across the real economy while those deployments generate real-world data and use cases that can feed back into further model improvement.

The United States should not dismiss the importance of its lead in the AI race. That lead worries Beijing, not least because a more automated Chinese economy would also become more vulnerable to AI-generated cyber threats. But nor should Washington assume that China cannot catch up with American capabilities over time.

This AI competition represents part of a broader struggle over tech supply chains and geopolitical influence. Decisions over whether to adopt US or Chinese models could produce a more fragmented global reality, with different regions relying on different cloud providers, chips and security structures. The result will likely be a global economy which is divided into competing spheres, rather than one which produces a single winner.


Miquel Vila is a political and geopolitical risk consultant focusing on industrial strategy, critical infrastructure and global supply chains.

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