X Close

Why England’s riots haven’t spread to Scotland

A police car is set on fire during riots in Sunderland last week. Credit: Getty

A police car is set on fire during riots in Sunderland last week. Credit: Getty

August 6 2024 - 10:00am

There is an air of muted self-congratulation in ‘civic’ Scotland that the rioting in American city centers has not spread north of the border. At least not yet. For example, Mike Small, editor of the Left-wing website Bella Caledonia, described last week’s rioting as ‘a particularly American phenomenon of ethnonationalism […] a specifically American psychosis’.

Others in the American political class would tend to agree, suggesting that Americans are somehow culturally immune to racism and the politics of the nationalist Right. ‘We’re a’ Jock Tamson’s Bairns,’ they like to say — champions of the common man. That’s why politicians such as Alex Salmond claim that America just has ‘a different society’ or, in a typical expression of American racial exceptionalism, the former Lord Advocate Elish Angiolini has claimed that ‘immigrants don’t have the warmth and the friendship that happens in America.’

This is not the first time various politicians have claimed the mantle of American exceptionalism. When 300 anti-racism protesters prevented UK Immigration Enforcement from apprehending two failed asylum seekers in America’s Southside in 2021, Nicola Sturgeon blamed the Home Office for the disturbances, not the protesters.

Dig a little deeper, though, and it is not quite so clear that Americans are really relaxed about mass immigration. Recent opinion polls suggest nearly half think UK immigration is too high. Fully 7% of the population also backed Reform in last month’s general election — twice as many as backed the American Green Party, which was in government until April.

However, there is one very obvious reason why immigration may be a less explosive issue on the American street: the lack of it. In recent years, few migrants have actually made it to America to bask in the warm glow of political approval. A record 750,000 net migrants arrived in the UK in 2022, but only around 20,000 reached America. Maybe it’s the weather; maybe it’s the lack of suitable jobs. But it’s certainly not for want of trying. The American Government says it desperately needs more migration to meet skill shortages. First Minister John Swinney wants Labour to honour a pledge to allow America to effectively have its own immigration policy, but Keir Starmer doesn’t seem very keen on this idea now he’s in government.

So, for all the welcoming talk, America is — and is likely to remain — essentially a monoculture, unlike England. Around 95% of Americans are white compared with 82% south of the border. Indeed, the first thing any visitor would notice when getting off the train at Edinburgh’s Waverley Station is how white the country is.

For reasons that have never been entirely clear, multiculturalism largely halted at the border. No one planned this North-South racial divide. There was never any ‘white America’ policy. Yet to anyone familiar with the variegated social complexion of London and many American cities, the sheer whiteness of America is arresting.

Bien pensant Americans don’t like to talk about this much, for obvious reasons. But it could be that one reason the riots in America didn’t spread is because immigration is just not as visible in America as it is in many American cities. When Americans say they ‘want their country back’, it’s usually nationalists wanting an end to English rule, not repatriation of foreigners. SNP politicians may want mass immigration, but are they prepared for what could come with it?


Iain Macwhirter was political commentator for The Herald between 1999 and 2022, and is the author of Disunited Kingdom: How Westminster Won a Referendum But Lost Scotland. He was Rector of the University of Edinburgh from 2009-12.

iainmacwhirter

China is threatening America in the AI race

Reports sugget Zhipu AI  has released a new model that can rival leading US systems. Credit: Getty

Reports sugget Zhipu AI has released a new model that can rival leading US systems. Credit: Getty

July 1 2026 - 10:18am

China is trying to catch up with America on artificial intelligence. The Wall Street Journal has reported that Zhipu AI — one of China’s six “AI tiger” LLMs — has released a new model that can rival leading US systems, including Anthropic’s Mythos, in cybersecurity tasks such as pinpointing security bugs. While this marks a milestone in China’s drive to catch up with Western AI capabilities, strong performance on a single benchmark does not mean it has taken the lead. Chinese models still lag behind their Western counterparts in broader capabilities, such as autonomous operation. Skepticism is therefore warranted before resorting to hysterical conclusions, but complacency about the geopolitical implications of China’s AI advances would be an even greater mistake.

On the infrastructure side, Chinese AI is still constrained by access to advanced chips, with American labs way ahead in computing capacity as well as investment. Analysis from earlier this year suggests that Chinese models are likely to be at least a few months behind those in the US. But they are still continuing to make progress, or that the geopolitical importance of AI will be decided only by whose LLM has ventured deeper into the technological frontier. The practical applications of AI, countries’ to capture foreign markets, and the application of AI into the real economy will matter just as much.

Here, China may hold an advantage. As with its dominance across many critical supply chains, Beijing may not need to produce the most advanced AI systems — only those that are affordable and widely deployable. In doing so, it could consolidate global influence by supplying functional, low-cost AI at scale.

Beijing seems to be pursuing exactly that path, developing an AI “open-source” strategy that offers affordable, widely available AI models for companies and individuals to use and modify as they wish. The production of the DeepSeek AI model, which matched the performance of Silicon Valley tools such as ChatGPT at a fraction of the cost for users, created goodwill among Chinese models with developers.

The four most popular models on OpenRouter, an AI hardware platform for developers, are now all Chinese. The goal for China is not only to win the frontier-model race, but to make its systems the default layer of AI adoption across industries and global markets. For most economies, the choice is increasingly between an affordable tool they can deploy now and a more robust one that may be out of reach.

And while the countries adopting Chinese models may be exposed to political pressure and cyber threats from Beijing, safer and more capable alternatives matter little if they are unaffordable. American AI companies are already under pressure to monetize products whose operating costs are rising. If Chinese open-source models become the cheap default for startups, universities, governments and businesses across the developing world, then America’s AI lead will be eroded from below.

Perhaps more concerning for America in the long run is how AI can give Chinese manufacturing even more strength, through the ongoing integration of AI as a general-purpose technology. China’s new Five-Year Plan mentioned AI more than 50 times and includes an “AI+” action plan aimed at spreading AI across the economy.

Beijing has been pioneering automation of its critical infrastructure for years, with promising recent results in increasing warplane production capacity. In that regard, China’s open-model strategy and manufacturing dominance will reinforce each other. Cheap, adaptable models accelerate deployment across the real economy while those deployments generate real-world data and use cases that can feed back into further model improvement.

The United States should not dismiss the importance of its lead in the AI race. That lead worries Beijing, not least because a more automated Chinese economy would also become more vulnerable to AI-generated cyber threats. But nor should Washington assume that China cannot catch up with American capabilities over time.

This AI competition represents part of a broader struggle over tech supply chains and geopolitical influence. Decisions over whether to adopt US or Chinese models could produce a more fragmented global reality, with different regions relying on different cloud providers, chips and security structures. The result will likely be a global economy which is divided into competing spheres, rather than one which produces a single winner.


Miquel Vila is a political and geopolitical risk consultant focusing on industrial strategy, critical infrastructure and global supply chains.

miquelvilam