December 14, 2024 - 1:00pm

The US east coast state of New Jersey has been awash with thousands of reports of strange aerial drones over the past three weeks. Local residents have recorded dozens of videos showing strange-looking drones slowly transiting airspace before disappearing. The drones have been reported near critical infrastructure including nuclear facilities, military bases, President-elect Donald Trump’s Bedminster golf resort, and numerous residential neighbourhoods.

Neither the US government nor New Jersey state authorities seem to know what’s going on. This has sparked concern that a foreign adversary such as China, Iran or Russia is engaged in clandestine surveillance as part of preparation for a future Pearl Harbour-style surprise attack if war ever breaks out over Taiwan or against Nato. Some have even suggested that the drones might be UFOs of the strangest kind: that roughly 0.1% of UFOs which very likely constitute an intelligently controlled unknown technology not operated by any Earth nation.

But what’s really happening?

The most likely answer is a few different things. One near certain explanation is that some of these sightings represent misidentification of otherwise normal aircraft. Many sightings have been reported in areas of heavy aircraft traffic. Depending on weather conditions and spatial awareness, a small or large plane can appear to look very different in varied situations. The same principle applies to astronomical phenomena such as the Starlink satellite network and stars. Mass sighting situations such as this one also tend to generate a high number of false reports as individuals seek to “join the club” of an exciting, unexplained event.

Still, this can’t explain everything that’s happening.

It’s also likely that a large number of these drones represent classified US military property. One expert has observed that some of the stranger drones videoed at close range match the characteristics of an in-development US Navy reconnaissance and logistics drone. Intriguing comments by private contractors at SkyGear Solutions, which operates sensitive drone programmes, lend further credence to this possibility (SkyGear did not respond to a request for clarifying comment). As do related airspace notices.

Considering the US military’s obsessive penchant for secrecy and its concern with preparing for what it presumes will be a major war with China over Taiwan before the year 2030, the Pentagon may be desperate to avoid drawing attention to its own activities. Replenishment-at-sea is one of the Navy’s very highest development priorities. It’s absolutely accurate to say that the US continues to operate both manned and unmanned highly classified aircraft unknown to the public.

Assuming that this is the case, however, the federal government is dancing on thin ice with public trust.

Numerous officials from the White House to the Pentagon to the FBI and the Department of Homeland Security continue to insist that they don’t know what’s going on. They simply insist drones don’t appear to pose a threat. And while some of these organisations may be being kept in the dark so as to provide them with plausible public deniability, senior officials at the Pentagon must know what’s happening.

As an extension, the White House has the responsibility to ask and find out if it does not know. The government interest in keeping classified programmes secret must now be balanced against the real fear of millions of Americans that the security of their families is at risk. The government’s “nothing to see here” narrative is not sustainable. Especially since some officials such as White House national security spokesman John Kirby (a retired Navy Admiral) have made comments that are plainly at odds with what individual military bases are reporting.

This is not to say, however, that everything can easily be explained by secret US government programmes. The increasing public outcry and associated Congressional concern over these incidents would suggest that the Pentagon would have at least temporarily suspended these drone flights. Continuing the flights now only risks their classified qualities becoming public. And if someone senior is insisting that the flights continue, they are risking their career against future Congressional inquiries and media reporting.

That said, it’s also possible that China is responsible for some of these drones. The Chinese intelligence services run a truly vast intelligence gathering operation on US soil — one far beyond the FBI’s means of stopping it. Beijing has hundreds of Chinese intelligence officers operating without diplomatic cover on US soil. Beijing also has thousands of Chinese intelligence agents serving it for varied reasons of patriotism and pressure. Moreover, drone surveillance has been a sustained and growing focus for Chinese espionage.

A rash of strange drone sightings at Virginia’s East Coast Langley Air Force base last year, for example, were likely the result of Chinese intelligence efforts to gather radar and other electronic signature data on the highly advanced F-22 fighter jets stationed at that base. A wave of recent drone sightings at a US Air Force base in the United Kingdom might also be explained by Chinese or, more likely, Russian drone surveillance activity.

Yet, considering China’s deep preparations for cyber-attacks on US civilian infrastructure in the event of war, it is possible that some of the New Jersey drone flights can be explained by a similar interest in identifying infrastructure targets that would jeopardise power and water supplies to New York City. It is equally possible that China might be operating drones to spy on the aforementioned US military drones!

That leaves us with the 0.1% UFO factor. While there is little corroborated video evidence to suggest that any of the New Jersey drones meet this criteria, it cannot be ruled out. One facet of the UFO phenomena has been its tendency to sometimes involve multi-week sightings in otherwise random locales that do not reflect the phenomena’s tendency to fixate on nuclear facilities and other high-technology sites. And mimicking drone technology might be a good way to hide in plain sight.

Ultimately, it’s possible and perhaps even likely that a confluence of all these factors is responsible for what Garden State citizens are seeing.


Tom Rogan is a national security writer at the Washington Examiner

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