September 25, 2024 - 1:15pm

The decline of social democracy is a well-known trend. What’s less obvious — but increasingly undeniable — is that the rot has spread far beyond the conventional centre-left. Europeans now are turning their backs on just about every shade of progressive politics.

In Germany, the co-leaders of the Greens — Omid Nouripour and Ricarda Lang — have just announced their joint resignation. Supposedly, the most powerful green party in Europe, it is losing votes fast: having been wiped out in recent regional elections, a national poll has just put the Greens below 10% of the popular vote. Meanwhile, the Left-wing Die Linke is heading for extinction.

In the 2010s, there were great hopes that radical parties such as Podemos in Spain and Syriza in Greece could tap into anti-establishment feeling and provide an alternative to Right-wing populism. Today, however, Podemos is a shattered fragment, while Syriza has seen its support fall to a new low. In the Republic of Ireland, Sinn Fein has crashed from first to third place. And in Britain, the Corbynites were first befriended by Keir Starmer — then ruthlessly purged.

In the 2019 European elections there was a “green wave”, with various parties of the environmentalist Left making gains. Now, though, it’s a different story. Green parties aren’t shrivelling away everywhere, but across the EU the general trend is one of decline. Germany is just the most dramatic example.

Moving to the centre does not appear to be a successful strategy for the Left either. The most important contemporary example of this is Emmanuel Macron: formerly a socialist, he formed his own moderate movement and, for a while, conquered all before him. Yet now he has been press-ganged into appointing a conservative prime minister — by Marine Le Pen of all people.

As for the remaining French Left — the four-party New Popular Front — recent events have only exposed their essential powerlessness. Used by Macron to save his skin in this year’s parliamentary elections, he’s now mugged them off, and there’s nothing they can do about it. Even when the Left “wins”, it loses.

In Denmark, Left unity has failed in a different way. For decades, a red bloc and a blue bloc fought each other at elections and alternated in government. However, the biggest of the red bloc parties now governs in coalition with two centre-right parties. Though she’s a social democrat, Mette Frederiksen knows that she owes her position as PM to her hard line on immigration, which is easier to pursue without the rest of the Left.

Just about the only way that Left-wing parties prosper in Europe these days is when they break with progressive positions and adopt a “Left conservative” stance. Germany’s BSW is a prominent example of this formula, as are the governing Smer and Hlas parties in Slovakia. But, as such, they’re now estranged from their former socialist and social democrat comrades.

No matter which form the progressive Left takes in Europe, it is — almost everywhere — out of power or heading for defeat. Even the Czech Pirate Party, the nearest thing to a Left-wing party in the Czech parliament, has just resigned from government after a crushing defeat in regional elections.

Faced with the decline and disaffection of the European working class, progressive politicians thought they could build new, and much cooler, coalitions. Evidently, they thought wrong.


Peter Franklin is Associate Editor of UnHerd. He was previously a policy advisor and speechwriter on environmental and social issues.

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