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Nigel Farage is exploiting UK’s delayed local elections

What's an opportunist to do? Credit: Getty

What's an opportunist to do? Credit: Getty

February 6 2025 - 1:15pm

Never one to miss a political opportunity, Reform UK leader Nigel Farage was quick to condemn Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner’s announcement that May’s local elections will be deferred until next year. Claiming he was “blooming angry”, Farage said there was “absolutely no justification” for delaying the democratic wishes of around 5.5 million people.

Eighteen local authority areas had applied to defer elections, citing a need to prepare for the merging of district and county councils, and for the establishment of new mayoralty positions like those established in Manchester, Birmingham and the Tees Valley. All located in South East England, the councils granted deferrals notably included Essex and Norfolk, counties where Reform won constituency seats in last year’s general election.

Rayner said it would be “an expensive and irresponsible waste of taxpayers’ money” to go ahead with elections for councils, only for them to be abolished shortly afterwards. “We’re not in the business of holding elections to bodies that won’t exist and where we don’t know what will replace them,” she told the House of Commons. On the contrary, Farage claimed the changes to local government would take up to three years to be completed and that deferring the elections would allow some councilors to ride the gravy train for three years longer than they otherwise would.

Riding high in the polls and sustained by that precious and fleeting political commodity —momentum — Farage is doing what he does best. He is massaging a fairly anodyne change to how councils are run into a narrative that suits him and his party. It’s a free story and one that, with a bit of imagination, can be given life by playfully projecting “DICTATORS CANCEL ELECTIONS” onto the Palace of Westminster as a publicity stunt, and mobilizing 245,000 motivated supporters into signing a petition.

All over a little bit of local government reform. Regardless, Farage will get his story of the night when Reform does well in the local elections, even though his sights are set well beyond local government. Love him or loathe him, the Reform leader is an ambitious “vision” politician, not a technocratic “systems thinker” with a respect for institutions and process. Is he really that worried about whether a few hundred extra councilors end up making decisions over potholes and bin collections?

Think of Reform as the polar opposite of the Liberal Democrats, who live and breathe the minutiae and intricacies of local government — using it as a springboard for higher, Westminster-bound ambitions. But for Reform, for now, it is simply enough to criticize the established order, without fleshing out the policy details of alternatives.

The proof of Farage’s clever and purposeful cynicism over this story of deferred elections in a smattering of local councils can be found in his throaty support for President Donald Trump, whose new administration is hardly showing a great reverence for constitutional norms. Indeed, when asked about the President’s plans to turn Gaza into the “Riviera” of the Middle East, Farage quipped: “I love ambition.”

There is of course a big difference between deferring local elections by one year or by three years. The former is a minor change, the latter not so. But if constitutional changes are of great importance to the Reform UK leader, why is he supporting an actual election result denier? As ever, because there’s a “blooming” good story in it and the potential to convince more voters that Reform is holding power to account. Most people know that successful opposition politics is simply about shouting loud enough to be heard.


James Sean Dickson is an analyst and journalist who Substacks at Himbonomics.

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China is threatening America in the AI race

Reports sugget Zhipu AI  has released a new model that can rival leading US systems. Credit: Getty

Reports sugget Zhipu AI has released a new model that can rival leading US systems. Credit: Getty

July 1 2026 - 10:18am

China is trying to catch up with America on artificial intelligence. The Wall Street Journal has reported that Zhipu AI — one of China’s six “AI tiger” LLMs — has released a new model that can rival leading US systems, including Anthropic’s Mythos, in cybersecurity tasks such as pinpointing security bugs. While this marks a milestone in China’s drive to catch up with Western AI capabilities, strong performance on a single benchmark does not mean it has taken the lead. Chinese models still lag behind their Western counterparts in broader capabilities, such as autonomous operation. Skepticism is therefore warranted before resorting to hysterical conclusions, but complacency about the geopolitical implications of China’s AI advances would be an even greater mistake.

On the infrastructure side, Chinese AI is still constrained by access to advanced chips, with American labs way ahead in computing capacity as well as investment. Analysis from earlier this year suggests that Chinese models are likely to be at least a few months behind those in the US. But they are still continuing to make progress, or that the geopolitical importance of AI will be decided only by whose LLM has ventured deeper into the technological frontier. The practical applications of AI, countries’ to capture foreign markets, and the application of AI into the real economy will matter just as much.

Here, China may hold an advantage. As with its dominance across many critical supply chains, Beijing may not need to produce the most advanced AI systems — only those that are affordable and widely deployable. In doing so, it could consolidate global influence by supplying functional, low-cost AI at scale.

Beijing seems to be pursuing exactly that path, developing an AI “open-source” strategy that offers affordable, widely available AI models for companies and individuals to use and modify as they wish. The production of the DeepSeek AI model, which matched the performance of Silicon Valley tools such as ChatGPT at a fraction of the cost for users, created goodwill among Chinese models with developers.

The four most popular models on OpenRouter, an AI hardware platform for developers, are now all Chinese. The goal for China is not only to win the frontier-model race, but to make its systems the default layer of AI adoption across industries and global markets. For most economies, the choice is increasingly between an affordable tool they can deploy now and a more robust one that may be out of reach.

And while the countries adopting Chinese models may be exposed to political pressure and cyber threats from Beijing, safer and more capable alternatives matter little if they are unaffordable. American AI companies are already under pressure to monetize products whose operating costs are rising. If Chinese open-source models become the cheap default for startups, universities, governments and businesses across the developing world, then America’s AI lead will be eroded from below.

Perhaps more concerning for America in the long run is how AI can give Chinese manufacturing even more strength, through the ongoing integration of AI as a general-purpose technology. China’s new Five-Year Plan mentioned AI more than 50 times and includes an “AI+” action plan aimed at spreading AI across the economy.

Beijing has been pioneering automation of its critical infrastructure for years, with promising recent results in increasing warplane production capacity. In that regard, China’s open-model strategy and manufacturing dominance will reinforce each other. Cheap, adaptable models accelerate deployment across the real economy while those deployments generate real-world data and use cases that can feed back into further model improvement.

The United States should not dismiss the importance of its lead in the AI race. That lead worries Beijing, not least because a more automated Chinese economy would also become more vulnerable to AI-generated cyber threats. But nor should Washington assume that China cannot catch up with American capabilities over time.

This AI competition represents part of a broader struggle over tech supply chains and geopolitical influence. Decisions over whether to adopt US or Chinese models could produce a more fragmented global reality, with different regions relying on different cloud providers, chips and security structures. The result will likely be a global economy which is divided into competing spheres, rather than one which produces a single winner.


Miquel Vila is a political and geopolitical risk consultant focusing on industrial strategy, critical infrastructure and global supply chains.

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