September 30, 2024 - 10:00am

What is it with Tory ex-prime ministers and their wretched memoirs? We’ve already had Liz Truss and her deep state conspiracies. Now it’s Boris Johnson’s turn to promote his opus — also by means of headline-grabbing nonsense.

Consider the claim that, while at Number 10, he considered a raid on the Netherlands. The idea that the UK would launch a military operation against a fellow Nato member is entirely implausible. But the mischievous suggestion does make for great publicity. He also reckons that the Covid pandemic resulted from a lab leak, which was “the result of some botched experiment”. That is quite possibly the case, but why wait so long to float the theory when, as prime minister, he could have had it properly investigated? Reminding us of his record of inaction is not a good strategy for him.

He exposes himself again when he tells a tale of a colleague’s enthusiasm for transgender ideology. According to the Telegraph, he recalls Penny Mordaunt telling a meeting of Theresa May’s Cabinet that it was the “most important issue of our times”. Apparently, Boris struggled “to contain his amusement”, but if it was all so absurd, why wasn’t this agenda expunged from Whitehall when he became leader?

It may be that publicising his memoir is all he wants to achieve right now — in which case, he’s succeeding. But if he wants to get himself back into frontline politics, then he’ll be waiting some time. The current Conservative leadership race hasn’t settled much so far, because the candidates have gone out their way to minimise division.

However, one thing has become clear: the party is moving on. Power has shifted, if not to a new generation, then to a new team. Significantly, the first contenders to be eliminated — Mel Stride and Priti Patel — were those most associated with the past (Stride by dint of his age, Patel because she was Johnson’s home secretary).

That’s not the only factor working against a Johnson comeback. The 2024 election result was bad enough to tarnish the reputation of every Conservative leader since 2019, but not so bad as to compel the Tories to turn to Boris out of desperation. Then there’s Keir Starmer’s astonishingly poor start as Prime Minister. This does not guarantee a Tory revival, but it does put them back in the game. When you’re in with a chance, there’s no need to hanker after past glories.

Next we come to the barriers to revival. New research from the Onward think tank asks former Conservative voters what is stopping them from voting Tory again. By far the most common response was that immigration is too high. So in what way is Boris Johnson, the prime minister who let net immigration rip to record levels, the answer to that one?

Of course, politicians can reinvent themselves, but all Boris has done so far is double down. Where’s the regret? The self-examination? The quest for the solutions he failed to find in office? He has given his party no reason to turn back — and, to its great credit, it shows no sign of wishing to.


Peter Franklin is Associate Editor of UnHerd. He was previously a policy advisor and speechwriter on environmental and social issues.

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