Al-Burhan in Khartoum in 2021 (Mahmoud Hjaj/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)
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Aircraft are bombing Sudan’s capital Khartoum; soldiers are occupying civilian houses; most of the country’s hospitals have run out of basic supplies. On the surface, this might appear in the West to be just another African war — the culmination of a struggle between two rival army officers vying for control. And, in some ways, it is.
Since a coup in 2021, Sudan has been run by a council of generals, led by the two men at the centre of this dispute: army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and his deputy-turned-enemy Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (known as Hemedti), the head of the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF).
Al-Burhan and Hemedti represent a long-standing divide in Sudanese society, between the people living along the Nile and those on the marginalised periphery. Al-Burhan is a traditional army recruit who rose up the ranks. Raised in a small town in Northern Sudan, he looks to and is allied with Egypt.
Hemedti is very different. He comes from the western region of Darfur and his family extends into Chad. He belongs to the Rizeigat, a nomadic Arab tribe, and made his name with the Janjaweed militia (literally “devils on horseback”) by attacking settled Darfuris. In 2013, he transformed the Janjaweed into the RSF and has extended his power ever since. Today, he is one of the richest men in Sudan: a smooth operator, with vast holdings in mining and property.
This conflict, however, is much bigger than the two personalities at its heart. Indeed, there is a third character in this violent tragedy, a man who prefers to watch from afar.
Vladimir Putin already exercises influence across much of the arid Sahel through the Wagner Group. Although best known for its current activity in Ukraine, Wagner is also active in a number of African states, including Burkina Faso, Mali, Chad and Libya. In this conflict, Hemedti is the man who could add Sudan to that list.
During the Cold War, Africa was transformed into a superpower battleground, with the USSR and the USA slugging it out from Egypt and Ethiopia to Angola and Mozambique. Since then, Putin has continued to regard Africa’s conflicts as a cheap route into the continent. Using every trick in the book, from troops on the ground to digital propaganda, the Wagner Group has become one of the most powerful forces on the continent, allying with embattled political leaders and militia in exchange for cash or lucrative mining concessions.
Wagner’s chance to make inroads into Sudan came in November 2017, when then Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir visited Putin’s residence in Sochi. Publicly, the agreement reached by the two leaders was focused on their joint opposition “to US interference in the domestic affairs of Arab countries”; less publicly, it paved the way for the extension of the Wagner Group into Sudan.
What form this took only became clear last July, after an investigation by CNN revealed that Russian aircraft had been flying Sudanese gold out of the country to the Syrian port city of Latakia, where Russia has a major airbase. The purported aim was simple: Russia was desperate to fortify its reserves against increasingly punitive Western sanctions. In total, CNN estimated that up to $13.4 billion worth of gold was missing, though Bloomberg later put the figure at $4 billion. Either way, the sums of money are enormous.
These transactions were being organised by Meroe Gold — a subsidiary of M-Invest, owned by Yevgeny Prigozhin, the leader of the Wagner Group. In return, Prigozhin provided training and arms for the Sudanese military and, increasingly, to Hemedti. As CNN pointed out, in early 2022, a day after Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine, Hemedti flew to Moscow, “ushering in a new phase in the RSF’s relationship with the Wagner Group”.
These reports were corroborated a few months later, when journalists from Le Monde and the Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting Project (OCCRP) were sent a trove of documents relating to Wagner’s activities in Sudan. Their publication revealed just how deep this relationship had become. M-Invest was shown to have paid millions of dollars to a company operated by Sudanese military intelligence. And the dividends for Prigozhin were huge. In return, Wagner was granted permission to land on a military base in Khartoum and to use “the signal code of the air force for the purpose of operating internally and externally”. It was, in effect, a licence to fly weapons into the country and gold out of it — without being officially declared or detected.
For a short while, they managed to get away with this — until July 2020, when the US sanctioned Meroe for its links to Prigozhin. Last month, the Council of the European Union followed suit, claiming that: “These companies, together with Lobaye Invest Sarlu and Diamville in the CAR (Central African Republic), are sanctioned in view of their role in illegally trading gold and diamonds looted by force from local traders.”
Yet the measures appear to have had little impact on the activities of any of the parties concerned: there is simply too much at stake. This is also partly why, in 2020, as scrutiny of Wagner’s foreign companies intensified, Meroe handed its interests to a new company called Al Sawlaj for Mining Ltd, which has no assets and lists just one employee — a former Meroe Gold manager.
While few at the time noticed this shift, on 13 April, just three days before the latest fighting erupted, Bloomberg carried an intriguing story. The Sudanese authorities, it emerged, had charged a Russian national working for Al Sawlaj with gold smuggling. This signalled, claimed the report, “an escalation in a simmering power struggle between Sudan’s military and a rival militia whose leader has forged close ties with Russia”.
One can probably assume that “the rival militia leader” with close ties to the Kremlin was Hemedti. By the time his confrontation with al-Burhan erupted, he was estimated to have had as many as 100,000 troops at his disposal. Hemedti had become, in other words, a serious political rival with a military force to boot. And from Moscow’s point of view he was more compliant than al-Burhan, who was happy to receive Putin’s foreign minister, but was nowhere near as close to Russia.
In Sudan, then, it appears we have yet another conflict sparked by a struggle for a nation’s wealth and weapons. But if that were the spark, the Wagner Group was the match. A new Cold War is playing out in Africa — and Africa seems unlikely to win.
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SubscribePoint me to a single country anywhere in the world that has benefited from Russian “assistance” in the last 100 years.
This is surely not a coincidence.
And we like to beat ourselves up about what our ancestors did a hundred or more years ago in British colonies. At least we left something positive (schools, rule of law, etc.).
Ironically the Sudan* was the zenith of our Imperial achievement!
It was harder to get into the Sudan Political Service than it was to get into the Indian Civil Service, the fabled ICS.
(*Legally the Anglo-Egyptian Sudan.)
The Russians saved Syria from ISIS
In the same way that the Russians saved East Germany from the N@zis.
It would be more correct to say the Russians saved Al-Assad from ISIS. There is a subtle difference!
I could also have pointed out that ISIS attacks stopped in Europe too, once the Russians stepped in and did the right thing
And they get no thanks from the likes of you
I’m sure that Mr Putin’s entire reason for “Doing the right thing” was to stop ISIS attacks in Europe and not just an accidental (unintended) coincidence. I don’t suppose that ‘Europe’ getting it’s act together had anything to do with it.
I’m sure that Mr Putin’s entire reason for “Doing the right thing” was to stop ISIS attacks in Europe and not just an accidental (unintended) coincidence. I don’t suppose that ‘Europe’ getting it’s act together had anything to do with it.
More like the USA, and its loathsome Saudi toadies (allies.)
I could also have pointed out that ISIS attacks stopped in Europe too, once the Russians stepped in and did the right thing
And they get no thanks from the likes of you
More like the USA, and its loathsome Saudi toadies (allies.)
In the same way that the Russians saved East Germany from the N@zis.
It would be more correct to say the Russians saved Al-Assad from ISIS. There is a subtle difference!
Ironically the Sudan* was the zenith of our Imperial achievement!
It was harder to get into the Sudan Political Service than it was to get into the Indian Civil Service, the fabled ICS.
(*Legally the Anglo-Egyptian Sudan.)
The Russians saved Syria from ISIS
Point me to a single country anywhere in the world that has benefited from Russian “assistance” in the last 100 years.
This is surely not a coincidence.
And we like to beat ourselves up about what our ancestors did a hundred or more years ago in British colonies. At least we left something positive (schools, rule of law, etc.).
Well the title is rather misleading, surely ‘Sudanese faction enlists foreign PMC in return for gold as paymnet’ is more apt? I had mental images of Wagner mercs raiding Sudanese banks but it looks like they just get paid the gold, not sure that’s really ‘plundering’.
Paid? $4bn?? Boy, am I in the wrong job… Seriously, it’s hard to credit Wagner has provided $4bn worth of services to anyone. Plunder would appear to be the right term.
I thought the party line was the Russians are running out for men to fight in the Ukraine, but now it seems they are also up to no good in Africa too
I thought the party line was the Russians are running out for men to fight in the Ukraine, but now it seems they are also up to no good in Africa too
Paid? $4bn?? Boy, am I in the wrong job… Seriously, it’s hard to credit Wagner has provided $4bn worth of services to anyone. Plunder would appear to be the right term.
Well the title is rather misleading, surely ‘Sudanese faction enlists foreign PMC in return for gold as paymnet’ is more apt? I had mental images of Wagner mercs raiding Sudanese banks but it looks like they just get paid the gold, not sure that’s really ‘plundering’.
Hmm. The author cites CNN, Le Monde, Bloomberg and something amusingly called OCCRP(!) to offer, what, exactly? Some other journalist’s stories about corruption in Africa? Why? And how is it that “we” have another conflict sparked by etc, etc? I wonder if Mr Plaut would care to delve into what the CCP is doing on the continent.
or the CIA….
or the CIA….
Hmm. The author cites CNN, Le Monde, Bloomberg and something amusingly called OCCRP(!) to offer, what, exactly? Some other journalist’s stories about corruption in Africa? Why? And how is it that “we” have another conflict sparked by etc, etc? I wonder if Mr Plaut would care to delve into what the CCP is doing on the continent.
$13.4bn, $4bn, “either way, the sums of money are enormous”. Indeed, but Sudan’s gold production was 18 tons in 2022, or 635,000 oz, so about $1.3bn. Even $4bn would therefore be three years production.
$13.4bn, $4bn, “either way, the sums of money are enormous”. Indeed, but Sudan’s gold production was 18 tons in 2022, or 635,000 oz, so about $1.3bn. Even $4bn would therefore be three years production.
Wagner do their business, and do not care about the opinion of Western intellectual class. This article looks like an angry dog barking at the sky.
The World is becoming multipolar. Wagner actions in Sudan are discussed in Sudan or in Russia; but any discussion about it elsewhere is something between a “comment” and “foreign iterference in the affairs of a sovereign nation”.
Wagner do their business, and do not care about the opinion of Western intellectual class. This article looks like an angry dog barking at the sky.
The World is becoming multipolar. Wagner actions in Sudan are discussed in Sudan or in Russia; but any discussion about it elsewhere is something between a “comment” and “foreign iterference in the affairs of a sovereign nation”.
This is standard Putin.
When he fails in his main objective, Ukraine, he tries to open another front somewhere else, to draw attention away from the conflict.
He did the same in Syria and Libya. Instead of trying to bring all parties together for a peaceful resolution, he backs one side that may (Assad), or may not (Hiftar) impose their rule over a shattered country.
Putin’s latest attempt at promoting war is an air flight of weapons to the RSF. That enables them to create another civil war, like the ones he’s already bankrolling in Syria and Libya.
I suspect it’s really just the old Marxist/Soviet trope of “destroying World Capital via revolutions in the Third World! Viva Fidel!” That may be one of the few slogans that still resonates in Putin’s declining brain.
It won’t get him Ukraine.
But in a weak, declining empire, that’s all a weak, declining Putin can manage.
Fighting for the wealth of Africa by countries of power is bringing Africa down to her knees. This is what brother Gaddafi was fighting against before he was assassinated.
All these power countries want to put a hand in a cookie jar, foolish African leaders remain fools, Africa needs leaders and good friends who want to see Africa developed!
Fighting for the wealth of Africa by countries of power is bringing Africa down to her knees. This is what brother Gaddafi was fighting against before he was assassinated.
All these power countries want to put a hand in a cookie jar, foolish African leaders remain fools, Africa needs leaders and good friends who want to see Africa developed!
This is standard Putin.
When he fails in his main objective, Ukraine, he tries to open another front somewhere else, to draw attention away from the conflict.
He did the same in Syria and Libya. Instead of trying to bring all parties together for a peaceful resolution, he backs one side that may (Assad), or may not (Hiftar) impose their rule over a shattered country.
Putin’s latest attempt at promoting war is an air flight of weapons to the RSF. That enables them to create another civil war, like the ones he’s already bankrolling in Syria and Libya.
I suspect it’s really just the old Marxist/Soviet trope of “destroying World Capital via revolutions in the Third World! Viva Fidel!” That may be one of the few slogans that still resonates in Putin’s declining brain.
It won’t get him Ukraine.
But in a weak, declining empire, that’s all a weak, declining Putin can manage.